WDBC Cytology Selection
Candidate screening protocol: 5-Fold Out-Of-Fold (OOF) Cross-Validation on development data.
| Candidate | ROC-AUC | PR-AUC | Sens. | Spec. | Bal. Acc | Brier | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logistic Regression★ | 0.9950 | 0.9941 | 97.65% | 96.84% | 97.24% | 0.0200 | Selected |
| Random Forest | 0.9876 | 0.9859 | 95.88% | 96.49% | 96.19% | 0.0305 | Evaluated |
| XGBoost | 0.9939 | 0.9924 | 95.29% | 98.95% | 97.12% | 0.0225 | Evaluated |
★ Why Logistic Regression?
Logistic Regression demonstrated the strongest, most stable diagnostic balance across all five development folds, providing top-tier discriminatory power while remaining fully interpretable with direct coefficient weights.
- Development-only selection: Selected strictly on 5-fold cross-validation evidence prior to evaluating test data.
- Highest ROC-AUC (0.9950) & PR-AUC (0.9941): Outperformed ensemble tree alternatives in discriminatory accuracy.
- Superior probability calibration: Lowest Brier score (0.0200) and highest balanced accuracy (97.24%).
- Convex & robust: L2 regularization prevents overfitting on small clinical cohorts (569 cases) compared to non-linear splits.
Inspect Study A Evidence Figures (ROC Curves & SHAP) ▾